However, when you make a prediction, be as precise as possible.
Do not be open-minded, be super open-minded. A brilliant puzzle solver will be at a disadvantage relative to a less intelligent person who possesses a great capacity for self-critical thinking.įor super forecasters, beliefs are hypotheses to be tested, not treasures to be guarded. Super forecasting is not about the ability to crunch numbers, but what you do with it that matters most.
